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O-X Event, 2 regulars or 1 Special?
I saw this question flying around earlier on reddit, so I decided to give my input there and here, especially considering how I didn't find it addressed here.
So when we look at the announcements, we can see that there are 61 items in the normal box and 52 in the special with only one Carasek Bag in each.
Carasek's Bag in Normal box - 1/61 (1.6%~)
Carasek's Bag in Special box - 1/52 (1.9%~)
So by getting two Normal boxes instead of one:
Carasek's Bag in Normal box - 2/61 (3.2%~)
Carasek's Bag in Special box - 1/52 (1.9%~).
I must emphasize that this is only practical if no items within the boxes are weighted, which I'm incline to believe they are, granted I have no proof of it. Those are the numbers, do with them as you wish.