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A Grand Horror Story

ApologistApologist
Mabinogi Rep: 1,205
Posts: 52
Member
in General Chat
My roommate spent $2000 on the eweca stones boxes. And He failed em all. I was gunna try my luck with a box or two but now I'm scared...

Moral of the story...Don't be like my room mate. You don't need them. He's been balling his eyes out in a corner for two days now. He only wanted to step 7 his bhafel hunter and Celtic druid staff.

tumblr_inline_nhaus0TwVb1st68j5.gif

PLz use disposable income only if you're still gunna try anyways~
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Comments

  • ArjuneArjune
    Mabinogi Rep: 16,890
    Posts: 1,752
    Member
    edited July 21, 2017
    I'm guessing he didn't run the alban secret hall with anton cimeni anvils to drag that success rate up to 45% from 30% so I have no sympathy :/ yeah it's pretty bad that he failed like 27 times.... but he could have had higher success chance :/

    sorry to hear this... already planned not to buy any ^^; but that's simply because I'm almost broke irl atm

    maybe he can sell all those excess rebirth pots to buy another stone or 2 and a anton cimeni stone and try again with better odds
  • IyasenuIyasenu
    Mabinogi Rep: 24,265
    Posts: 2,887
    Member
    W-wow...
    That's pretty upsetting.
  • XiokunXiokun
    Mabinogi Rep: 11,100
    Posts: 887
    Member
    This is why I'd never buy that stuff. It's just not worth the money.
    TheNyanCatGretaTairikuKimberly
  • CrimsọnCrimsọn
    Mabinogi Rep: 65,165
    Posts: 9,159
    Member
    I guess your room mate doesn't have the cash to pay rent now. lol.
  • KensamaofmariKensamaofmari
    Mabinogi Rep: 34,745
    Posts: 7,909
    Member
    Next time have your friend drop by for budgetary lessons. Anytime someone decides to spend a large sum of money, they need to reevaluate before proceeding...
    $2,000...
    Nowadays when people with over $100k annual income live off of paycheck to paycheck in some places, $2,000 is a luxury and a poor decision was made.
    badnewsbarrettTairiku
  • RheyRhey
    Mabinogi Rep: 10,175
    Posts: 1,499
    Member
    edited July 21, 2017
    aP7CjWJ.gif

    Truly...a scary tale.

    Once I finish step6 on my 2nd 56th 48th CRk I'll prolly...maybe...idk...not so sure now...try it myself.
  • KensamaofmariKensamaofmari
    Mabinogi Rep: 34,745
    Posts: 7,909
    Member
    Rhey wrote: »
    aP7CjWJ.gif

    Truly...a scary tale.

    Once I finish step6 on my 2nd 56th 48th CRk I'll prolly...maybe...idk...not so sure now...try it myself.

    Oh you... :D
  • OpalthiraOpalthira
    Mabinogi Rep: 7,595
    Posts: 943
    Member
    on the bright side he can max all his skills now >.>
  • EllisyaEllisya
    Mabinogi Rep: 5,525
    Posts: 485
    Member
    It's kinda cruel and mean to say but
    more like "The End of Greedy"...
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User]
    Mabinogi Rep: 2,045
    edited July 21, 2017
    I don't know if I should believe OP. I mean it's definitely possible for this to happen, but it's like really way too rare.

    Assuming Nexon's random number generator is truly uniformly distributed (which may be a kind assumption)
    If OP's friend spent $2000 that's 25 boxes; 25 of each stone.
    If OP's friend was only using one single type of stone,
    the chance to fail 25 times in a row is 1 in 7456.
    This is somewhat plausible, but really rare still .0134% chance of this occurring.
    (This is akin to failing a 99% chance twice in a row (.01%))
    But it's likely that their staff is blue upgrade and their trying to get to s7.
    (I mean why the hell would you bother trying to upgrade another item over a bhafel, if you still haven't succeeded)
    And the chance to fail 50 times in a row at a rate of 30% is about one in 55.6 million. (.0000018% chance)
    (This is roughly twice the chance of failing failing 99% four times in a row)
    Do it yourself calculation: (0.7)^50.



  • GretaGreta
    Mabinogi Rep: 51,805
    Posts: 6,975
    Member
    edited July 21, 2017
    Spy wrote: »
    I don't know if I should believe OP. I mean it's definitely possible for this to happen, but it's like really way too rare.

    Assuming Nexon's random number generator is truly uniformly distributed (which may be a kind assumption)
    If OP's friend spent $2000 that's 25 boxes; 25 of each stone.
    If OP's friend was only using one single type of stone,
    the chance to fail 25 times in a row is 1 in 7456.
    This is somewhat plausible, but really rare still .0134% chance of this occurring.
    (This is akin to failing a 99% chance twice in a row (.01%))
    But it's likely that their staff is blue upgrade and their trying to get to s7.
    (I mean why the hell would you bother trying to upgrade another item over a bhafel, if you still haven't succeeded)
    And the chance to fail 50 times in a row at a rate of 30% is about one in 55.6 million. (.0000018% chance)
    (This is roughly twice the chance of failing failing 99% four times in a row)
    Do it yourself calculation: (0.7)^50.

    You must be fun at parties.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User]
    Mabinogi Rep: 2,045
    Greta wrote: »
    Spy wrote: »
    I don't know if I should believe OP. I mean it's definitely possible for this to happen, but it's like really way too rare.

    Assuming Nexon's random number generator is truly uniformly distributed (which may be a kind assumption)
    If OP's friend spent $2000 that's 25 boxes; 25 of each stone.
    If OP's friend was only using one single type of stone,
    the chance to fail 25 times in a row is 1 in 7456.
    This is somewhat plausible, but really rare still .0134% chance of this occurring.
    (This is akin to failing a 99% chance twice in a row (.01%))
    But it's likely that their staff is blue upgrade and their trying to get to s7.
    (I mean why the hell would you bother trying to upgrade another item over a bhafel, if you still haven't succeeded)
    And the chance to fail 50 times in a row at a rate of 30% is about one in 55.6 million. (.0000018% chance)
    (This is roughly twice the chance of failing failing 99% four times in a row)
    Do it yourself calculation: (0.7)^50.

    You must be fun at parties.

    I'm the king of every party I've ever been to. (zero)
  • RheyRhey
    Mabinogi Rep: 10,175
    Posts: 1,499
    Member
    Spy wrote: »
    (This is akin to failing a 99% chance twice in a row (.01%))

    I've fail 99% twice in a row many times b4. I know people who failed 99% twice in a row many time b4 as well. This is Nexon's Rng. I'm not even surprise. Op's friend just caught Nexon's fickle Mistress on a bad day. :*
  • TairikuTairiku
    Mabinogi Rep: 1,910
    Posts: 74
    Member
    Your friend has a gambling problem.
    Xiokun
  • XiokunXiokun
    Mabinogi Rep: 11,100
    Posts: 887
    Member
    Don't buy these 70 dollar boxes. Buy yourself some video games instead, or a console, or a brand new computer with all that kind of money. Please? The ewcea stone thing that happened to that guy is just terrible. :<
    Greta
  • GretaGreta
    Mabinogi Rep: 51,805
    Posts: 6,975
    Member
    edited July 22, 2017
    Xiokun wrote: »
    Don't buy these 70 dollar boxes. Buy yourself some video games instead, or a console, or a brand new computer with all that kind of money. Please? The ewcea stone thing that happened to that guy is just terrible. :<

    Seriously. When i think about it... I could buy a whole and new released game with all additions. Or do a nice feast/party with friends or family with 70$. The guy who wasted 2000$... I could buy a new powerful laptop with that price. R.I.P the waste is real here.
  • JoeyDee9JoeyDee9
    Mabinogi Rep: 4,065
    Posts: 198
    Member, Volunteer Forum Moderator
    Most likely fake.
  • CrimsọnCrimsọn
    Mabinogi Rep: 65,165
    Posts: 9,159
    Member
    JoeyDee9 wrote: »
    Most likely fake.

    No this story has been circulating for a few days now. Some player purchased 28 bundles and made it public.
  • nevyn25nevyn25
    Mabinogi Rep: 4,135
    Posts: 667
    Member
    glad to see I'm not the only one bothered by the fact someone spent $2000 in one blow. sure, it's terrible luck, but I could think of better uses for that amount of money
  • KimberlyKimberly
    Mabinogi Rep: 810
    Posts: 30
    Member
    Tell him thanks for keeping the servers alive for us. :/
    badnewsbarrett수융_RuairiGretaCarlizeAichannSliciapawcalypse